Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Choose property that out-performs the median growth rate.


Many of our investor clients come to us looking to buy in the next “hot spot”. Many others are looking for proven locations with above average median price growth.

However, even in these “safe” suburbs, buyers can go wrong. In every suburb there are properties that perform above and below the median. The trick when buying property, particularly when the purpose is for investment, is to identify the traits that mean a property will at least match the median growth rate for that area.

Local knowledge is essential. For example, corner blocks may be favoured in one suburb and shunned in another. Or buyers in one suburb can be seduced by the charm of weatherboard cottages, yet in another location they are seen as sub-standard homes.

When buying in a sellers’ market, you will find that almost every property generates some level of competition amongst buyers. When the market cools, the only properties that generate buyer competition will be those that are capable of performing at or over their suburbs median growth rate.

For more information on buying property in Sydney go to www.gooddeeds.com.au.

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Why you can’t rely on property statistics


Anybody who speaks to me about property trends will know that I am very skeptical about the value of statistics when it comes to the Sydney property market.

The main reason for this is that Sydney is NOT a homogenous market and even within suburbs there is a great deal of variability between properties. At best they can provide a starting point for research, however they are prone to mislead the unwary.

Some examples:
• A few years ago Birchgrove registered a 20% drop in values purely because there were no waterfront sales that year. Non waterfronts definitely increased in value and if these properties were analyzed separately I am sure the actual results would have been closer to showing something like a 12% growth.
• Annandale has recently registered a larger than actual increase in median house price due to an unusually high one-off sale over $5M. We recently had a client who had stopped looking in this suburb because they felt they had been priced out of the suburb due to this rapid “growth” in prices. When we showed them actual sales results they could see that Annandale was actually tracking the same as surrounding suburbs.
• Drummoyne units range in value from around $450K for unrenovated red brick 3 storey walk-ups to over $2M for waterfront eastside apartments with Harbour Bridge views - the rental yields at the lower end are vastly superior to those at the higher end, yet they are all bundled into the same statistics for units. Investors may miss out on great opportunities if they rely on yield statistics for this suburb.
• The Alexandria median unit price showed a large jump about a year ago – driven by the completion of large new apartment complexes, not by actual price increases.
• The median house price for Sydney showed an increase last year which was fuelled by first home buyers. Yet, when you break the figures down, the lower end of the market showed a much greater increase than the upper end of the market. So the impact of the first home buyer influx was far greater at their end of the market than the statistics revealed.

The moral of this story? Research into the property market requires much more than devouring statistics and buying suburb reports. You need to understand the individual dynamics of each suburb and area if you are to be confident in making a wise purchase.

For more information on buying property in Sydney go to www.gooddeeds.com.au.