Are we there yet?? How to tell if the Sydney property market is finally slowing down.

On Saturday 22nd May there was a double page spread in Domain section of the Sydney Morning Herald devoted to the property market slow down. Interesting, as at the coal face, we are yet to see any significant change in buyer demand in our neck of the woods so it felt a bit strange to read about demand dropping when competition for property is still fierce.

But there are signs that the market may be at its peak, or else it will do so soon. Not the least of these are such media reports that the tide has turned. These sorts of news stories (and there have now been a number of them in the past couple of weeks) will have a direct impact on consumer confidence, which is one of the foundations of a sellers’ market.

And talking about consumer confidence, economists have recently reported a 7% drop, the first in ages.

Certainly auction clearance rates – while still respectably high – have dropped since the highs of March. But to put this in context, we need to remember that we have had record auction listings this month.

Selling agents are starting to tell us that they are getting less people through open houses and that there is a small but perceptible drop in buyer activity (i.e.: offers).

Property analysts are recording reduced price growth in the lower end of the market and the expectation is that this will have a follow-on effect (a reversal of the first home buyer led property boom).

Probably the most telling sign is when buyers start doing silly things. Such as making offers way below agent’s price guides and expecting to get a result. Hat’s off to these buyers for giving it a go, but I think they are a premature with their antics.

For more information on buying property in Sydney go to www.gooddeeds.com.au.

What does it mean if an agent is quoting $1.3M for an auction property?

If I offer $1.3M will they sell it to me prior to auction?

We have heard this question in numerous forms over the years – so many people get confused by Sydney’s auction price quoting system.

The fact they are quoting around $1.3M really means that they really want more than $1.3M. If the property goes to auction and the best offer they get is $1.3M, they might then sell for that price – but they might not. But for a buyer to buy it prior to auction, they need to make an offer that will entice the vendor to sell before the auction – as all vendors hope to get competition that will give them a price over their reserve. (I am not even going to venture into the area that deals with what price the agent put on their vendor’s agency agreement).

Without having done any pricing research on this property, I would think they’d be thinking at least $1.35M to sell prior to auction. But if there are other interested buyers, this figure can climb. For example, recently we had a client interested in a property that was being quoted as $940K+. I spoke with the agent about an offer and was advised that other buyers had indicated around $1.06M (a big jump, I know, and there were comparable sales to justify this). My clients were very keen on this house and decided to offer just over $1.1M. This would have bought it, had there not been at least three other buyers prepared to pay similar money. In the end, we secured it for $1.125M – and believe it or not, there were two other buyers then prepared to pay more!!

I hope this makes sense? It doesn’t make sense to me half the time…

For more information on buying property in Sydney go to www.gooddeeds.com.au.